EXPERTS said last week that an increase in fuel prices in Myanmar
on August 15 was in line with a global trend among governments
of withdrawing fuel subsidies to deal with the rising cost of
oil.
On Wednesday the price of petrol went from K1500 to K2500 a
gallon, while diesel rose from K1500 to K3000. The biggest jump
occurred with compressed natural gas (CNG), which changed from
K10 to K50 a litre.
Oil prices have reached as high as US$78.8 a barrel in the past
two weeks following news that US oil reserves have been falling.
Many countries have responded to the high prices by cutting subsidies
to fuel-consuming sectors.
The global oil market has become skewed in recent months as
demand for fuel grows in developing countries whose governments
use subsidies to keep oil prices at well below the free-market
price.
As a result, growing oil demand in China, India and the Middle
East has driven the free-market oil price ever higher for developed
countries.
However, some governments of developing countries have found
themselves financially burdened by their policy of offering oil
subsidies.
Egypt withdrew its oil subsidies for the electricity sector
on August 14, one day before Myanmar raised its fuel prices. Egypt’s
Trade and Industry Minister, Rachid Mohamed Rachid, said the reduction
in subsidies would save the government £15 billion in the
next three years.
Economist U Khin Maung Nyo (Bawgabayda), who is also the editor-in-chief
of Yangon-based International Economic Journal, said he thought
last week’s rise in fuel prices in Myanmar had resulted
from a reduction in oil subsidies by the government.
“The governments of many countries are having trouble
offering fuel subsidies as oil prices go up. We already saw petrol
prices in Myanmar go from K180 to K1500 a gallon after the government
reduced subsidies in 2005,” he said.
In October 2005 the government decreed that all vehicles running
in the public transportation sector in Yangon should convert from
diesel and petrol to CNG. Most public buses have already made
the conversion, which costs about K5 million for big buses and
K3 million for small vehicles.
Although CNG now costs K190 ($0.15) a gallon in Myanmar, the
price is low compared with countries where fuel subsidies have
already been removed. For example, per-gallon CNG prices are about
$6 in France, $6.20 in Hong Kong, $4.20 in India and $6.06 in
South Korea.
Prices tend to be lower in countries where subsidies are still
government policy. For example, CNG is about $3.04 a gallon in
Thailand and $3.86 in Singapore.